Israel braces for scenario of failed agreement with Iran
New Israeli assessments have revealed a decline in the chances of reaching a final agreement between the United States and Iran, as Tel Aviv raises its military readiness in anticipation of a potential expansion of the regional confrontation or a direct attack from Tehran, while continuing security and military coordination with Washington.
Israeli media quoted officials as saying that the prevailing assessments within the security establishment indicate that the chances of success of the negotiating track between Washington and Tehran have become "almost zero" in light of the recent military escalation and the exchange of strikes between the two sides.
The officials added that the Israeli army continues to prepare operational plans and update the target bank inside Iran, in anticipation of any political decision to take military action, or in case the current confrontation extends to directly include Israel.
The sources confirmed that any Iranian attack on Israel would be met with a "large-scale response," carried out in full coordination with the United States.
Ready Target Bank
These statements come one day after a report published by the Israeli newspaper Ma'ariv, which stated that the army had finished preparing plans for a large-scale attack on Iranian infrastructure, if war resumes or if Israel is attacked by Iran.
According to the newspaper, the military establishment has prepared a list of targets that were not hit during previous confrontations, including vital facilities in the oil, gas, and energy sectors, as well as power plants, industrial infrastructure, and transportation networks.
The newspaper quoted a security source as saying that the army has "completed the necessary preparations" and will be able to carry out broader and more impactful operations if a decision is made by the political leadership.
He added that some targets that were postponed during previous rounds remained outside the scope of strikes due to US-Israeli understandings, but they are still included in the military target bank.
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Coordination with Washington
According to Israeli officials, any broad military move will not be separate from coordination with the United States, especially given the large US military presence in the region and the continuation of US operations against Iranian targets following the attacks that targeted navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
The US Central Command had announced the implementation of three rounds of strikes during the current week, confirming the targeting of more than 300 military sites inside Iran, as part of the response to Iranian attacks on commercial ships.
Israeli officials believe that the continuation of this coordination enhances the ability of both sides to deal with any new escalation, whether inside Iran or in other arenas in the region.
Diplomatic Track Stalls
These assessments come as the diplomatic track between Washington and Tehran faces increasing challenges, after US President Donald Trump announced the end of the memorandum of understanding that had been signed last June, following mutual accusations of violating its terms.
Despite Trump's announcement of his readiness to resume negotiations, the recent military escalation, the mutual attacks, and the intermittent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are all factors that have increased doubts about the possibility of a quick return to the negotiating table.
In contrast, Tehran asserts that it will not back down under military pressure, while Iranian officials stressed that the response to any aggression will continue as long as US and Israeli attacks persist.
Confrontation Scenarios
Israel fears that the collapse of the negotiating track could lead to the confrontation moving from limited strikes to a broader regional war, especially if Iran decides to expand the circle of response to directly include Israeli territory.
For this reason, the Israeli military establishment continues to raise its readiness, update its operational plans, and enhance cooperation with the United States, at a time when security assessments indicate that the coming weeks will be decisive in determining whether the crisis will return to the political track or move towards a broader military confrontation.
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Original source: Al Arabiya
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