Iran Faces a Difficult Future! - Khalid bin Hamad Al-Malik
In what seemed like a show of force, a provocation to Iran, and a veiled invitation to draw it into sending a batch of its drones and missiles to Israel, the US military displayed its forces from a military base in Israel, as if a message to Iran hoping it would make the mistake of striking the US force at its location in Israel.
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Tehran understood the message and was not drawn into a war with Israel, because it knows Tel Aviv's reaction and appreciates the scale of the hell that would befall it if it joined America in a new bilateral war against Iran, after reviewing the effects of the previous joint war between Israel and America against Iran.
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Iran is content to send its missiles and drones to the Gulf Cooperation Council states and Jordan, whether they have American bases or not, and the Iranian attack usually targets infrastructure and civilian assets, none of which hit US military bases. It limits its attacks to these countries because it recognizes their self-distancing from entering this war and their opposition to escalating the fighting.
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And Iran, which has suspended the memorandum of understanding with America and refuses to hold a new meeting with it to activate what was agreed upon, must return to diplomacy, dialogue, and understanding away from the use of force in new rounds, especially after it has become powerless to prevent America's strikes on vital and military sites.
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And if Israel is preparing to enter the war, as leaked news in its media suggests, this will accelerate the end of Iran and force it to accept American and Israeli dictates and demands, regarding the nuclear reactor, the Strait of Hormuz, or support for terrorist militias, without obtaining the lifting of sanctions, the release of its deposits in foreign banks, or the lifting of the naval blockade that surrounds it.
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In our view, Iran's options for emerging from the dark tunnel appear very limited and unhelpful. America has encircled it, deepened its siege, and exhausted it, leaving Iran with no room for maneuver or escape from a resounding defeat that may occur sooner and faster than expected.
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And Iran's reliance in confronting this fierce war on sending drones and missiles to the Gulf Cooperation Council states and Jordan, and hitting their infrastructure, will not save it from drowning, nor protect it from painful American strikes, nor put it in a strong position to continue controlling the Strait of Hormuz and threatening ships from crossing through this strait.
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The danger to Iran will escalate even more than if President Trump allowed Israel to re-enter as a party to the war, meaning that the decision being cooked in the White House is to completely end Iranian power and subject the country to division into small states, with America relying on using the diversity of the population and the dissatisfaction of many with the mullahs' control over governance, without justice or equality among citizens.
Original source: Al-Jazirah
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