What did the advisor to the Kuwaiti Minister of Finance say about the credit situation and contraction expectations?
Former advisor to the Kuwaiti Minister of Finance, Mohamed Ramadan, stated that credit rating agencies currently see no major risks necessitating a downgrade for Kuwait. He attributed this to the country's robust financial reserves and sovereign fund, which provide a strong cushion. Ramadan noted that the expected 8% economic contraction this year, linked to geopolitical tensions and the Strait of Hormuz, is seen as temporary, with expectations for over 10% growth next year. He also dismissed concerns over long-term damage to oil infrastructure and emphasized that Kuwait has no urgent need for borrowing.
The former advisor to the Kuwaiti Minister of Finance, Mohamed Ramadan, announced that reports from credit rating agencies do not indicate significant risks that would necessitate a downgrade of Kuwait's rating at this time. He explained that the large financial reserves and the sovereign fund form a strong protective umbrella for the country's financial situation, according to what was published by Al Arabiya channel's website.
He confirmed that the continuation of the crisis for several additional months would not necessarily lead to a credit rating downgrade as long as financial reserves remain at their current levels, emphasizing that markets and rating agencies view the current crisis as temporary rather than structural or long-term.
Recovery Expectations
Ramadan mentioned that the forecasts indicating a contraction of the Kuwaiti economy by 8% during the current year largely align with the International Monetary Fund's estimates, pointing out that the anticipated decline in GDP is a result of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the current geopolitical conditions that have cast a shadow over economic activity.
He confirmed that the forecasts for the coming year appear more optimistic, noting that the Kuwaiti economy is poised to achieve growth exceeding 10%, reflecting expectations of a rapid recovery following the end of the current crisis.
He added that the crisis is inherently temporary, and even if it extends throughout the current year, it is not expected to continue into the next year, pointing out that its prolonged duration would push towards finding alternatives and other solutions, which would limit its effects in terms of time.
Warning Messages
Regarding concerns related to energy facilities and oil infrastructure, Ramadan clarified that the likelihood of significant damage to Kuwaiti oil facilities remains unlikely, affirming that any large-scale attack would have significant repercussions for the perpetrator. He indicated that any potential targeting would remain within the framework of limited warning messages, currently ruling out the occurrence of large-scale attacks on energy facilities or infrastructure in Kuwait that would lead to long-term damage. Concerning the decline in oil revenues and its impact on public finances, he stated that Kuwait does not face an urgent need to borrow given its possession of a massive sovereign fund that can be utilized when necessary, either by liquidating some assets or using the fund's resources.
Original source: Okaz
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